We are certainly not shocked to hear this one. Ever since the Arab League was willing to stiff Mahmoud Abbas when they rejected the latest agenda from the Palestinian Authority, we could have seen this coming. Sunni Arab nations have come together and they are tired of the causes that are being presented to them by the Palestinians.
That’s why they are now charting their own course. Now that they have seen Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates making their move, the rest of these nations are now looking to add a semblance of normalcy to their relationships with Israel. According to President Trump, five or six other countries may join the accord before too long.
“You’re going to see a lot of very great activity. It’s going to be peace in the Middle East,” Trump says. Now, the media is starting to speculate about the identities of these additional nations. Jordan and Egypt are not going to be involved because they have already established their own peace accords with Israel a long time ago.
President @realDonaldTrump says five to six additional countries will be "coming along" for more peace deals:
"You're going to see a lot of very great activity. It's going to be peace in the Middle East." pic.twitter.com/mp6QPLbjsG
— Townhall.com (@townhallcom) September 15, 2020
They have been operating under this accord for decades now. Syria is not going to be involved in these peace talks, for reasons that we should not have to outline here. Lebanon is not going to be involved, either. Anyone with half a brain knows that Hezbollah would block any deal of this nature before it had a chance to get off the ground.
Who does this actually leave? The Saudi Arabians are certainly not going to be jumping to be at the front of the line. This is how they will provide the Abbas with the leverage that they need. The Abraham Accord is not designed to allow the Palestinians to annihilate the nation of Palestine. It is designed to create the two state solution that Trump has been angling for since he became president.
Incoming message from Palestinians: rocket launches on Israel right now. https://t.co/Bl3rUmmILi
— Shalom Lipner (@ShalomLipner) September 15, 2020
He acknowledges that he is placing some pressure on Palestine with these tactics. These normalization agreements are supposed to place the onus on them in a more direct manner. Trump’s remarks were delivered during an interview with Fox and Friends. He was asked by the hosts if these methods were meant to force Palestine to the negotiation table, so to speak.
“Yes, you could say that’s certainly a piece of it. The ultimate piece is it’s good for us to have, and it’s good for Israel. But certainly that’s a piece of it. The Palestinians are very difficult to deal with,” said the president. If we are to assume that Saudi Arabia will remain on board (and serve as the carrot at the end of the Donald Trump stick), who else is going to go ahead?
It all comes down to the nations that are most sympathetic to Western interests. Kuwait, Morocco, Qatar and Tunisia are chief among them. There are some who believe that Oman can be persuaded as well. Algeria is more of a radical Muslim nation and they are not likely to care about Trump’s accord all that much. Libya and Sudan would probably fall into the same category.
Oman and Kuwait are going to be the nations that everyone watches closely at this point. Saudi Arabia is the true crown jewel of this accord, though. They are the country that will serve as the end game for what Trump is trying to accomplish. At the moment, Iran is the country that seems to have reacted in the most unfavorable manner.
Bear this in mind: the Palestine issue is mere window dressing to the president at the moment. What he is really trying to do is provide protection and leadership to the nations that are tired of Iran. So far, so good. Now that countries are following the lead of the UAE peace deal and reaping the economic benefits of a renewed relationship with Israel, it won’t be long before Palestine starts to feel more pressure.